Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.703177 2.123408 2.673573 3.470086 4.636749 6.360612 9.271702
2025-02-02 1.207886 1.677934 2.403516 3.697310 6.196422 11.560625 27.442513
2025-02-09 0.926615 1.371323 2.130527 3.686917 7.392963 18.536371 84.679860
2025-02-16 0.743984 1.146663 1.881372 3.542420 8.188351 27.116774 314.130398
2025-02-23 0.644759 1.031060 1.780785 3.645689 9.831355 46.709871 7229.752517
2025-03-02 0.578796 0.956540 1.732108 3.845751 12.218738 93.764064 NaN
2025-03-09 0.516083 0.873187 1.637015 3.867740 14.090453 180.560618 NaN
2025-03-16 0.455198 0.781512 1.497700 3.685151 14.767148 296.545507 NaN
2025-03-23 0.424523 0.745513 1.479025 3.887314 18.392718 1113.336218 NaN
2025-03-30 0.391810 0.699409 1.423416 3.934136 21.354731 6509.948918 NaN
2025-04-06 0.358182 0.646211 1.337430 3.824073 22.907142 104615.141789 NaN
2025-04-13 0.330487 0.602294 1.266801 3.744411 24.826273 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.320019 0.596148 1.299317 4.142118 35.352764 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.306324 0.580680 1.302717 4.426668 48.066871 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.286926 0.549137 1.251903 4.412060 55.734321 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.266137 0.511855 1.176633 4.226923 58.071959 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.254054 0.494270 1.158733 4.358942 74.385257 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.245217 0.483525 1.160160 4.615822 105.969340 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.233294 0.463669 1.128014 4.644139 130.608358 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.218480 0.435063 1.062003 4.409494 130.775809 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.212189 0.427589 1.065957 4.669360 200.269432 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.203607 0.413287 1.043788 4.729743 265.283296 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.193222 0.393350 0.998636 4.587920 289.757493 NaN NaN